Today / Norway - 2. Division - Group 1 / Sotra vs Træff

Sotra vs Træff Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Matchday 16 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 14:00

Sotra logo
Sotra
PPG 1.43 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Træff logo
Træff
PPG 1.57 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.81 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.9%0-14.7%0-22.9%0-31.2%0-4+0.5%1 1-07.9%1-19.6%1-25.8%1-32.4%1-4+0.9%2 2-08.0%2-19.8%2-25.9%2-32.4%2-4+1.0%3 3-05.4%3-16.6%3-24.0%3-31.6%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-04.4%4+-15.3%4+-23.3%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.5%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 53.1%
Draw 22.9%
Away win 24.0%
Over 2.5 60.4%
Over 3.5 38.1%
BTTS 61.0%
Home O1.5 55.6%
Away O1.5 36.6%

League track record

Based on 55 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%
O2.5 44%
BTTS 49%
Score Hit 29%
ROI -46.8%
Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 47%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob61.0%

H 53% / xG 2.0-1.2 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.6%
#2 2–1 9.8%
#3 2–0 8.0%
#4 3–1 6.6%
#5 1–0 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sotra2.0
Træff1.2

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.4% · O3.5 PROB 38.1%

Form & verdict PPG

SOTRA · PPG 1.43

TRÆFF · PPG 1.57

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.81 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Sotra (H) 53.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 22.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Træff (A) 24.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sotra face Træff in Norway - 2. Division - Group 1 on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sotra a 53% chance, the draw 23% and Træff 24%, so Sotra are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Sotra and 1.2 for Træff (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sotra are averaging 1.43 points per game versus 1.57 for Træff.

PredictVantage

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