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Eik-Tønsberg vs Sotra Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Matchday 17 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 15:00

Eik-Tønsberg

PPG 0.50 · HOME

LAST 5

LLLLL 

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Sotra

PPG 1.75 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWWWW

// Model verdict

Away

xG gap -1.62 for Away, form 0.50 vs 1.75

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.4%0-18.4%0-210.5%0-38.8%0-4+10.0%1 1-03.0%1-17.5%1-29.4%1-37.8%1-4+8.9%2 2-01.3%2-13.3%2-24.2%2-33.5%2-4+3.9%3 3-00.4%3-11.0%3-21.2%3-31.0%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.3%4+-20.3%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.0% — — —

Draw 17.7% — — —

Away win 69.3% — — —

Over 2.5 64.2% — — —

Over 3.5 43.2% — — —

BTTS 54.8% — — —

Home O1.5 30.9% — — —

Away O1.5 67.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 69 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 48%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 36%

ROI -41.1%

Bet Hit 39%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 10.5%

#2 1–2 9.4%

#3 0–3 8.8%

#4 1–1 7.5%

#5 1–3✓ 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Eik-Tønsberg0.9

Sotra2.5

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.2% · O3.5 PROB 43.2%

Form & verdict PPG

EIK-TØNSBERG · PPG 0.50

SOTRA · PPG 1.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

xG gap -1.62 for Away, form 0.50 vs 1.75

Win probability 1X2

Eik-Tønsberg (H) 13.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Sotra (A) 69.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Eik-Tønsberg face Sotra in Norway - 2. Division - Group 1 on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Eik-Tønsberg a 13% chance, the draw 18% and Sotra 69%, so Sotra are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Eik-Tønsberg and 2.5 for Sotra (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Eik-Tønsberg are averaging 0.50 points per game versus 1.75 for Sotra. This match finished 1-3.

Eik-Tønsberg vs Sotra Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Match Preview & Prediction

More Norway - 2. Division - Group 1 Predictions