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Pors Grenland vs Bjarg Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Matchday 16 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 12:30

Pors Grenland

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Bjarg

PPG 2.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.38 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.6%0-111.2%0-28.3%0-34.1%0-4+2.1%1 1-08.4%1-112.3%1-29.1%1-34.5%1-4+2.3%2 2-04.6%2-16.8%2-25.0%2-32.5%2-4+1.3%3 3-01.7%3-12.5%3-21.8%3-30.9%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.9%4+-20.6%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.6% — — —

Draw 25.2% — — —

Away win 43.1% — — —

Over 2.5 53.7% — — —

Over 3.5 31.8% — — —

BTTS 54.5% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 44.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 55 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 44%

BTTS 49%

Score Hit 29%

ROI -46.8%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 28%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob54.5%

A 43% / xG 1.1-1.5 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.3%

#2 0–0 7.6%

#3 0–1 11.2%

#4 1–2 9.1%

#5 0–2 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Pors Grenland1.1

Bjarg1.5

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.7% · O3.5 PROB 31.8%

Form & verdict PPG

PORS GRENLAND · PPG 1.00

BJARG · PPG 2.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.38 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Pors Grenland (H) 31.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Bjarg (A) 43.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Pors Grenland face Bjarg in Norway - 2. Division - Group 1 on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pors Grenland a 32% chance, the draw 25% and Bjarg 43%, so Bjarg are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Pors Grenland and 1.5 for Bjarg (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pors Grenland are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 2.14 for Bjarg.

Pors Grenland vs Bjarg Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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