Today / Norway - 2. Division - Group 1 / Kvik Halden vs Notodden

Kvik Halden vs Notodden Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Matchday 17 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 14:00

Kvik Halden

PPG 1.62 · HOME

LAST 5

LWLWD

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Notodden

PPG 2.38 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWLD

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.14, combined xG 2.18 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.3%0-113.1%0-27.6%0-33.0%0-4+1.1%1 1-011.5%1-113.4%1-27.8%1-33.0%1-4+1.1%2 2-05.9%2-16.8%2-24.0%2-31.5%2-4+0.6%3 3-02.0%3-12.3%3-21.3%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.7%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.3% — — —

Draw 27.7% — — —

Away win 36.0% — — —

Over 2.5 45.5% — — —

Over 3.5 27.3% — — —

BTTS 52.1% — — —

Home O1.5 30.9% — — —

Away O1.5 33.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 69 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 48%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 36%

ROI -41.1%

Bet Hit 39%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.4%

#2 1–0 11.5%

#3 0–0✓ 11.3%

#4 0–1 13.1%

#5 2–1 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kvik Halden1.0

Notodden1.2

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.5% · O3.5 PROB 27.3%

Form & verdict PPG

KVIK HALDEN · PPG 1.62

NOTODDEN · PPG 2.38

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.14, combined xG 2.18 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Kvik Halden (H) 36.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Notodden (A) 36.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kvik Halden face Notodden in Norway - 2. Division - Group 1 on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kvik Halden a 36% chance, the draw 28% and Notodden 36%, so Kvik Halden are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Kvik Halden and 1.2 for Notodden (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kvik Halden are averaging 1.62 points per game versus 2.38 for Notodden. This match finished 0-0.

Kvik Halden vs Notodden Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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