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Lysekloster vs Kvik Halden Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Matchday 16 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 12:00

Lysekloster

PPG 0.86 · HOME

UPCOMING

Kvik Halden

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.3%0-17.3%0-28.1%0-36.0%0-4+5.5%1 1-04.0%1-18.8%1-29.7%1-37.1%1-4+6.6%2 2-02.4%2-15.2%2-25.8%2-34.3%2-4+4.0%3 3-00.9%3-12.1%3-22.3%3-31.7%3-4+1.6%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.8%4+-20.9%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 23.2% — — —

Draw 21.4% — — —

Away win 55.5% — — —

Over 2.5 64.7% — — —

Over 3.5 43.0% — — —

BTTS 61.6% — — —

Home O1.5 31.7% — — —

Away O1.5 63.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 55 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 44%

BTTS 49%

Score Hit 29%

ROI -46.8%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 57%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob61.6%

A 56% / xG 1.2-2.2 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.8%

#2 1–2 9.7%

#3 0–2 8.1%

#4 1–3 7.1%

#5 0–1 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lysekloster1.2

Kvik Halden2.2

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.7% · O3.5 PROB 43.0%

Form & verdict PPG

LYSEKLOSTER · PPG 0.86

KVIK HALDEN · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -1.02 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Lysekloster (H) 23.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Kvik Halden (A) 55.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Lysekloster face Kvik Halden in Norway - 2. Division - Group 1 on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lysekloster a 23% chance, the draw 21% and Kvik Halden 56%, so Kvik Halden are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Lysekloster and 2.2 for Kvik Halden (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lysekloster are averaging 0.86 points per game versus 2.00 for Kvik Halden.

Lysekloster vs Kvik Halden Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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