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Mjondalen vs Eik-Tønsberg Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Matchday 16 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 13:00

Mjondalen

PPG 2.29 · HOME

UPCOMING

Eik-Tønsberg

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +2.17 for Home, form 2.29 vs 0.00 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.0%0-11.7%0-20.8%0-30.2%0-4+0.1%1 1-06.1%1-15.3%1-22.3%1-30.7%1-4+0.2%2 2-09.2%2-18.0%2-23.5%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-09.4%3-18.2%3-23.6%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-015.2%4+-113.2%4+-25.8%4+-31.7%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 68.3% — — —

Draw 16.6% — — —

Away win 15.2% — — —

Over 2.5 67.4% — — —

Over 3.5 46.7% — — —

BTTS 54.5% — — —

Home O1.5 80.3% — — —

Away O1.5 22.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 55 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 44%

BTTS 49%

Score Hit 29%

ROI -46.8%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 69%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.0 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob54.5%

H 68% / xG 3.0-0.9 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 9.4%

#2 2–0 9.2%

#3 3–1 8.2%

#4 2–1 8.0%

#5 4–0 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Mjondalen3.0

Eik-Tønsberg0.9

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.4% · O3.5 PROB 46.7%

Form & verdict PPG

MJONDALEN · PPG 2.29

EIK-TØNSBERG · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.17 for Home, form 2.29 vs 0.00 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Mjondalen (H) 68.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 16.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Eik-Tønsberg (A) 15.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Mjondalen face Eik-Tønsberg in Norway - 2. Division - Group 1 on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Mjondalen a 68% chance, the draw 17% and Eik-Tønsberg 15%, so Mjondalen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.0 for Mjondalen and 0.9 for Eik-Tønsberg (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Mjondalen are averaging 2.29 points per game versus 0.00 for Eik-Tønsberg.

Mjondalen vs Eik-Tønsberg Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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