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Træff vs Vidar Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Matchday 17 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 12:00

Træff

PPG 1.75 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWLD

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Vidar

PPG 0.14 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWLLD

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +2.33 for Home, form 1.75 vs 0.14 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.6%0-11.4%0-20.7%0-30.2%0-4+0.1%1 1-05.1%1-14.7%1-22.1%1-30.6%1-4+0.2%2 2-08.3%2-17.5%2-23.4%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-09.0%3-18.1%3-23.7%3-31.1%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-016.4%4+-114.9%4+-26.8%4+-32.0%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 69.5% — — —

Draw 15.8% — — —

Away win 14.7% — — —

Over 2.5 71.2% — — —

Over 3.5 49.4% — — —

BTTS 59.9% — — —

Home O1.5 77.3% — — —

Away O1.5 25.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 69 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 48%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 36%

ROI -41.1%

Bet Hit 39%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 9.0%

#2 2–0 8.3%

#3 3–1 8.1%

#4 1–1 4.7%

#5 2–1 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Træff3.2

Vidar0.9

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 71.2% · O3.5 PROB 49.4%

Form & verdict PPG

TRÆFF · PPG 1.75

VIDAR · PPG 0.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.33 for Home, form 1.75 vs 0.14 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Træff (H) 69.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 15.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Vidar (A) 14.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Træff face Vidar in Norway - 2. Division - Group 1 on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Træff a 70% chance, the draw 16% and Vidar 15%, so Træff are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.2 for Træff and 0.9 for Vidar (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Træff are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 0.14 for Vidar. This match finished 2-2.

Træff vs Vidar Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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