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Sandviken vs jerv Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Matchday 16 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 12:00

Sandviken

PPG 0.86 · HOME

UPCOMING

jerv

PPG 2.38 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.9%0-16.6%0-27.6%0-35.8%0-4+5.8%1 1-03.6%1-18.3%1-29.5%1-37.3%1-4+7.2%2 2-02.2%2-15.2%2-25.9%2-34.5%2-4+4.5%3 3-00.9%3-12.1%3-22.5%3-31.9%3-4+1.9%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.9%4+-21.0%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 23.2% — — —

Draw 21.1% — — —

Away win 55.6% — — —

Over 2.5 67.3% — — —

Over 3.5 43.0% — — —

BTTS 63.3% — — —

Home O1.5 35.4% — — —

Away O1.5 64.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 55 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 44%

BTTS 49%

Score Hit 29%

ROI -46.8%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 62%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)2.3 BTTS prob63.3%

A 56% / xG 1.2-2.3 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 9.5%

#2 1–1 8.3%

#3 0–2 7.6%

#4 1–3 7.3%

#5 2–2 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sandviken1.2

jerv2.3

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.3% · O3.5 PROB 43.0%

Form & verdict PPG

SANDVIKEN · PPG 0.86

JERV · PPG 2.38

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -1.05 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Sandviken (H) 23.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

jerv (A) 55.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sandviken face jerv in Norway - 2. Division - Group 1 on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sandviken a 23% chance, the draw 21% and jerv 56%, so jerv are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Sandviken and 2.3 for jerv (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sandviken are averaging 0.86 points per game versus 2.38 for jerv.

Sandviken vs jerv Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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