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jerv vs Pors Grenland Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Matchday 17 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 17:00

jerv

PPG 2.29 · HOME

LAST 5

LLWDW

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Pors Grenland

PPG 1.57 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDLDL

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.89 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.9%0-16.1%0-22.7%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-012.3%1-110.9%1-24.9%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-011.0%2-19.8%2-24.4%2-31.3%2-4+0.3%3 3-06.5%3-15.8%3-22.6%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-04.4%4+-13.9%4+-21.7%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.7% — — —

Draw 23.7% — — —

Away win 22.6% — — —

Over 2.5 53.5% — — —

Over 3.5 31.7% — — —

BTTS 54.1% — — —

Home O1.5 48.9% — — —

Away O1.5 25.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 69 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 48%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 36%

ROI -41.1%

Bet Hit 39%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.9%

#2 2–0 11.0%

#3 1–0✓ 12.3%

#4 2–1 9.8%

#5 0–0 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

jerv1.8

Pors Grenland0.9

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 31.7%

Form & verdict PPG

JERV · PPG 2.29

PORS GRENLAND · PPG 1.57

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.89 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

jerv (H) 53.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Pors Grenland (A) 22.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

jerv face Pors Grenland in Norway - 2. Division - Group 1 on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives jerv a 54% chance, the draw 24% and Pors Grenland 23%, so jerv are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for jerv and 0.9 for Pors Grenland (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, jerv are averaging 2.29 points per game versus 1.57 for Pors Grenland. This match finished 1-0.

jerv vs Pors Grenland Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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