| Grade | Bets | Hit% | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| D | 1 | 0.0% | −10000.0% |
| F | 4 | 50.0% | −2250.0% |
| Market | Bets | Hit% | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2 | 50.0% | −2500.0% |
| Away | 2 | 50.0% | −2000.0% |
| Over2.5 | 1 | 0.0% | −10000.0% |
| Verdict | Bets | Hit% | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned | Best EV: Home @6% | 1 | 100.0% | +5000.0% |
| 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity | Best EV: Away @10% | 1 | 100.0% | +6000.0% |
| ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value | 1 | 0.0% | −10000.0% |
| 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity | Best EV: Away @11% | 1 | 0.0% | −10000.0% |
| ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value | 1 | 0.0% | −10000.0% |
| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Result | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May | Alberts JDFS vs Tukums B | Over 2.5 | — | 6-1 | HIT |
| 26 May | Super Nova II vs Valmiera | Over 2.5 | -7% EV | 0-0 | MISS |
| 24 May | Tukums B vs Smiltene | Over 2.5 | 3% EV | 1-1 | MISS |
| 24 May | Alberts JDFS vs Skanste | Over 2.5 | -4% EV | 4-1 | HIT |
| 23 May | Marupe vs RFS B | Home | 1% EV | 1-4 | MISS |
| 23 May | Rezekne vs Riga FC B | Over 2.5 | -8% EV | 2-1 | HIT |
| 23 May | Riga Mariners vs Metta | Away | 11% EV | 2-2 | MISS |
| 23 May | Leevon PPK vs JFK Ventspils | Home | -4% EV | 2-1 | HIT |
| 17 May | Riga FC B vs Marupe | Over 2.5 | -5% EV | 0-4 | HIT |
| 16 May | Riga Mariners vs Valmiera | Over 2.5 | -12% EV | 3-1 | HIT |
| 16 May | Rezekne vs Tukums B | Over 2.5 | -4% EV | 1-4 | HIT |
| 16 May | Metta vs Alberts JDFS | Home | 7% EV | 4-1 | HIT |
| 16 May | RFS B vs Leevon PPK | Away | 10% EV | 1-2 | HIT |