Today / Latvia - 1. Liga / Rēzekne FA vs Metta / LU

Rēzekne FA vs Metta / LU Prediction— Latvia - 1. Liga

Matchday 17 ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 14:00

Rēzekne FA

PPG 0.62 · HOME

LAST 5

LLLLL 

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY O1.5

Metta / LU

PPG 2.43 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDWWW

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

xG gap -4.06 for Away, form 0.62 vs 2.43

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.4%0-11.9%0-24.5%0-37.2%0-4+33.6%1 1-00.3%1-11.4%1-23.3%1-35.4%1-4+24.9%2 2-00.1%2-10.5%2-21.2%2-32.0%2-4+9.3%3 3-00.0%3-10.1%3-20.3%3-30.5%3-4+2.3%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.0%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.6% — — —

Draw 8.1% — — —

Away win 78.2% — — —

Over 2.5 82.7% — — —

Over 3.5 66.2% — — —

BTTS 54.7% — — —

Home O1.5 30.6% — — —

Away O1.5 88.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 69%

O2.5 75%

BTTS 75%

Score Hit 42%

ROI -24.5%

Bet Hit 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–4 8.7%

#2 0–5 8.3%

#3 0–3 7.2%

#4 1–4 6.4%

#5 1–5 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rēzekne FA0.7

Metta / LU4.8

COMBINED 5.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 82.7% · O3.5 PROB 66.2%

Form & verdict PPG

RĒZEKNE FA · PPG 0.62

METTA / LU · PPG 2.43

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

xG gap -4.06 for Away, form 0.62 vs 2.43

Win probability 1X2

Rēzekne FA (H) 13.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 8.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Metta / LU (A) 78.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Rēzekne FA face Metta / LU in Latvia - 1. Liga on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rēzekne FA a 14% chance, the draw 8% and Metta / LU 78%, so Metta / LU are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Rēzekne FA and 4.8 for Metta / LU (5.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-4. There is a 83% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rēzekne FA are averaging 0.62 points per game versus 2.43 for Metta / LU. This match finished 0-2.

Rēzekne FA vs Metta / LU Prediction— Latvia - 1. Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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