Leagues / GERMANY / Bundesliga
Bundesliga
▲ STRONG-EDGE LEAGUE
MODEL EDGE ABOVE BREAK-EVEN IN THIS LEAGUE
Upcoming Bundesliga predictions
DateMatchPickProbOddsEV
4 SEPT18:30 VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Köln Over 2.5 60% 1.38 -18%// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 51 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
56.9%
1X2
29/51
74.5%
O/U 2.5
38/51
74.5%
BTTS
38/51
45.1%
Exact score
23/51
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
16
Settled
68.8%
Hit rate
11/16
1.63
Avg odds
+11.9%
ROI
+1.9u
Picks by market
OVER 2.5 · N=8 75.0% HIT · AVG 1.56 · +17.0% ROI
AWAY WIN · N=3 66.7% HIT · AVG 2.02 · +20.7% ROI
HOME WIN · N=3 33.3% HIT · AVG 1.35 · -52.7% ROI
BTTS · N=2 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.75 · +75.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
3
Bets
67%
Hit
+20.7%
ROI
✓ Solid
3
Bets
67%
Hit
-4.3%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
4
Bets
75%
Hit
+26.0%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
6
Bets
67%
Hit
+6.2%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
August 2026 // 6 PICKS · 5 HIT · 1 MISS
30 AUG SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen BTTS -3% 4–1 HIT29 AUG RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach Over 2.5 -10% 3–0 HIT29 AUG 1. FC Köln vs 1899 Hoffenheim Over 2.5 -4% 3–2 HIT29 AUG Union Berlin vs Eintracht Frankfurt Over 2.5 +0% 3–3 HIT29 AUG Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV Over 2.5 -8% 2–0 MISS28 AUG Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart HO1.5 5–1 HITMay 2026 // 9 PICKS · 6 HIT · 3 MISS
16 MAY Freiburg vs RB Leipzig Over 2.5 -13% 4–1 HIT16 MAY Bayern Munich vs FC Koln Over 2.5 -12% 5–1 HIT16 MAY E. Frankfurt vs Stuttgart Over 2.5 -17% 2–2 HIT16 MAY Werder Bremen vs Dortmund Away +23% 0–2 HIT16 MAY Union Berlin vs FC Augsburg BTTS -15% 4–0 MISS16 MAY Sankt Pauli vs Wolfsburg BTTS -7% 1–3 HIT16 MAY Monchengladbach vs Hoffenheim Over 2.5 -17% 4–0 HIT16 MAY Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV Over 2.5 -20% 1–1 MISS16 MAY Heidenheim vs FSV Mainz Over 2.5 -13% 0–2 MISS