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Germany - Bundesliga Saturday, May 16, 2026 13:30 
Bayern Munich PPG 2.56 
FC Koln PPG 0.81
Germany - Bundesliga Saturday, May 16, 2026 13:30 Bayern Munich PPG 2.565-1 HIT CS5
FC Koln PPG 0.81Draw· +40.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
66% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 79.0% Odds: 1.11 -12.3%
Over 3.5 72.8% Odds: 1.33 -3.2%
BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.42 -15.2%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 3-1 ✘
2nd 4-1 ✘
3rd 3-0 ✘
4th 4-0 ✘
5th 5-1 ✔
Expected Goals (xG)
Bayern Munich 3.93
FC Koln 1.02
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -12.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -12.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+40.4%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+40.4%) — probability too low to qualify.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 45 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 53%
O2.5/Under 73%
BTTS/No 76%
Score Hit 49%
ROI 1.8%
Bet Hit 63% (16 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
STRONG_HOME 66%
Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.56), Away POOR (0.81) - Strong consensus