Sankt Pauli vs Wolfsburg Prediction & Tips

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Germany - Bundesliga Regular Season - 34 Millerntor-Stadion· Hamburg Saturday, May 16, 2026 13:30

Sankt Pauli PPG 1.06

1-3 MISS

Wolfsburg PPG 1.00

Home· +7.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 36.8%

Odds: 2.92 EV: +7.5%

Draw 26.0%

Odds: 3.55 EV: -4.6%

Away 37.2%

Odds: 2.25 EV: -16.3%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 58.0% Odds: 1.67 -3.1%

Over 3.5 32.5% Odds: 2.70 -12.3%

BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.55 -7.5%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 1-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Sankt Pauli

1.44

Wolfsburg

1.44

Model SuggestionBTTS -7.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -7.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+7.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.06), Away AVERAGE (1.00)