Heidenheim vs FSV Mainz Prediction & Tips

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Germany - Bundesliga Regular Season - 34 Voith-Arena· Heidenheim an der Brenz Saturday, May 16, 2026 13:30

Heidenheim PPG 1.06

0-2 HIT CS5

FSV Mainz PPG 1.25

Away· +37.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...

48% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 35.3%

Odds: 1.87 EV: -34.0%

Draw 24.3%

Odds: 4.10 EV: -0.2%

Away 40.4%

Odds: 3.40 EV: +37.4%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.4% Odds: 1.42 -12.8%

Over 3.5 40.6% Odds: 2.10 -14.7%

BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.42 -15.2%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 2-2 ✘

5th 0-2 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

Heidenheim

1.53

FSV Mainz

1.71

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -12.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -12.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+37.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...

48%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.06), Away AVERAGE (1.25)