Union Berlin vs FC Augsburg Prediction & Tips

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Germany - Bundesliga Regular Season - 34 Stadion An der Alten Försterei· Berlin Saturday, May 16, 2026 13:30

Union Berlin PPG 1.19

4-0 MISS

FC Augsburg PPG 1.06

Home· +2.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 39.7%

Odds: 2.58 EV: +2.4%

Draw 24.9%

Odds: 3.75 EV: -4.0%

Away 35.4%

Odds: 2.42 EV: -14.3%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.1% Odds: 1.48 -12.5%

Over 3.5 36.3% Odds: 2.20 -20.1%

BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.42 -15.2%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 2-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Union Berlin

1.58

FC Augsburg

1.47

Model SuggestionBTTS -15.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -15.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+2.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.19), Away AVERAGE (1.06)