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E. Frankfurt vs Stuttgart Prediction— Germany - Bundesliga

Regular Season - 34 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 13:30

E. Frankfurt

PPG 1.50 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Stuttgart

PPG 1.38 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.1 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 63.9% vs bookmaker-implied 76.9%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.6%0-13.6%0-24.1%0-33.1%0-4+3.0%1 1-03.0%1-16.8%1-27.7%1-35.8%1-4+5.6%2 2-02.8%2-16.3%2-27.2%2-35.4%2-4+5.2%3 3-01.7%3-13.9%3-24.5%3-33.4%3-4+3.3%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-12.8%4+-23.2%4+-32.4%4+-4+2.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.1% 29.9% 3.35 +17.6%

Draw 22.4% 22.7% 4.40 -0.9%

Away win 42.4% 54.6% 1.83 -22.4%

Over 2.5 63.9% 76.9% 1.30 -16.9%

Over 3.5 59.4% 55.6% 1.80 +6.9%

BTTS 63.0% 76.9% 1.30 -18.1%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 45 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 76%

Score Hit 49%

ROI 3.3%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 47%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)2.3 BTTS prob63.0%

A 42% / xG 1.9-2.3 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 6.8%

#2 1–2 7.7%

#3 2–2✓ 7.2%

#4 2–1 6.3%

#5 1–3 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

E. Frankfurt1.9

Stuttgart2.3

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 59.4%

Form & verdict PPG

E. FRANKFURT · PPG 1.50

STUTTGART · PPG 1.38

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away AVERAGE (1.38)

Win probability 1X2

E. Frankfurt (H) 35.1%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV +17.6%

Draw 22.4%

ODDS 4.40 · IMPLIED 22.7% EV -0.9%

Stuttgart (A) 42.4%

ODDS 1.83 · IMPLIED 54.6% EV -22.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

E. Frankfurt face Stuttgart in Germany - Bundesliga on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives E. Frankfurt a 35% chance, the draw 22% and Stuttgart 42%, so Stuttgart are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for E. Frankfurt and 2.3 for Stuttgart (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, E. Frankfurt are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.38 for Stuttgart. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +17.6%. This match finished 2-2.

E. Frankfurt vs Stuttgart Prediction— Germany - Bundesliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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