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Germany - Bundesliga Saturday, May 16, 2026 13:30 
Leverkusen PPG 1.88 
Hamburger SV PPG 0.81
Germany - Bundesliga Saturday, May 16, 2026 13:30 Leverkusen PPG 1.881-1 HIT CS2
Hamburger SV PPG 0.81Away· +40.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 62.6% Odds: 1.28 -19.9%
Over 3.5 43.5% Odds: 1.70 -26.1%
BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.55 -7.5%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-1 ✘
2nd 1-1 ✔
3rd 2-0 ✘
4th 3-1 ✘
5th 3-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Leverkusen 2.35
Hamburger SV 1.02
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -19.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -19.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+40.6%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Away (+40.6%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.88) vs P(Home)=57.6%