Freiburg vs RB Leipzig Prediction & Tips

Germany - Bundesliga Regular Season - 34 Europa-Park-Stadion· Freiburg im Breisgau Saturday, May 16, 2026 13:30

Freiburg PPG 1.81

4-1 MISS

RB Leipzig PPG 1.69

Away· -1.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Home 35.1%

Odds: 2.54 EV: -10.8%

Draw 23.7%

Odds: 3.85 EV: -5.3%

Away 41.2%

Odds: 2.40 EV: -1.1%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✘

Over 2.5 61.4% Odds: 1.42 -12.8%

Over 3.5 41.5% Odds: 2.05 -14.9%

BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.38 -17.6%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 2-2 ✘

5th 0-2 ✘

Freiburg

1.48

RB Leipzig

1.80

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -12.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -12.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

Based on 45 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5/Under 73%

BTTS/No 76%

Score Hit 49%

ROI 1.8%

Bet Hit 63% (16 bets)

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.81), Away GOOD (1.69)