Leagues / BRAZIL / Brasileiro Women
Brasileiro Women
▼ THIN-EDGE LEAGUE
SHARP MARKET — MODEL EDGE BELOW BREAK-EVEN HERE
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 36 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
44.4%
1X2
16/36
50.0%
O/U 2.5
18/36
58.3%
BTTS
21/36
44.4%
Exact score
16/36
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
12
Settled
41.7%
Hit rate
5/12
1.66
Avg odds
-30.5%
ROI
-3.7u
Picks by market
OVER 2.5 · N=5 40.0% HIT · AVG 1.90 · -22.4% ROI
HOME WIN · N=3 66.7% HIT · AVG 1.35 · -8.0% ROI
AWAY WIN · N=2 50.0% HIT · AVG 1.42 · -15.0% ROI
BTTS · N=2 0.0% HIT · AVG 1.74 · -100.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
✓ Solid
3
Bets
0%
Hit
-100.0%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
5
Bets
40%
Hit
-22.4%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
4
Bets
75%
Hit
+11.5%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
July 2026 // 1 PICK · 0 HIT · 1 MISS
17 JUL Vitória BA W vs Botafogo W BTTS 2–0 MISSMay 2026 // 9 PICKS · 6 HIT · 3 MISS
25 MAY Sao Paulo W vs Santos W Home -18% 3–0 HIT24 MAY Vitória BA W vs Cruzeiro W Away 2–2 MISS24 MAY Juventude W vs Gremio W — NO PICK 1–1 —24 MAY RB Bragantino W vs Palmeiras W Over 2.5 +19% 1–2 HIT24 MAY Botafogo W vs America M. W Home 0–3 MISS24 MAY Atletico MG W vs Ferroviaria W — NO PICK 2–3 —23 MAY Fluminense W vs Bahia W — NO PICK 3–3 —18 MAY Ferroviaria W vs Vitória BA W Home 2–0 HIT18 MAY Sao Paulo W vs Juventude W Home 1–0 HIT17 MAY Santos W vs RB Bragantino W Over 2.5 +17% 0–1 MISS16 MAY America M. W vs Atletico MG W Away -4% 0–2 HIT16 MAY Gremio W vs Mixto W Home 3–0 HIT16 MAY Bahia W vs Internacional W — NO PICK 3–0 —11 MAY Vitória BA W vs Juventude W — NO PICK 0–3 —