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Juventude W vs Bahia W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Matchday 17 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 21:00

Juventude W

PPG 0.57 · HOME

LAST 5

DLLLD

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY

Bahia W

PPG 1.57 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWDDD

// Model verdict

Away

xG gap -0.66 - moderate Away edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.8%0-118.2%0-212.0%0-35.3%0-4+2.3%1 1-09.1%1-112.0%1-27.9%1-33.5%1-4+1.5%2 2-03.0%2-14.0%2-22.6%2-31.2%2-4+0.5%3 3-00.7%3-10.9%3-20.6%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 16.0% — — —

Draw 27.2% — — —

Away win 56.8% — — —

Over 2.5 42.7% — — —

Over 3.5 20.6% — — —

BTTS 43.6% — — —

Home O1.5 30.6% — — —

Away O1.5 41.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 85 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 54%

ROI -52.5%

Bet Hit 25%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 18.2%

#2 0–2 12.0%

#3 0–0 13.8%

#4 1–1 12.0%

#5 1–2 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Juventude W0.7

Bahia W1.3

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.7% · O3.5 PROB 20.6%

Form & verdict PPG

JUVENTUDE W · PPG 0.57

BAHIA W · PPG 1.57

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.66 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Juventude W (H) 16.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Bahia W (A) 56.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Juventude W face Bahia W in Brazil - Brasileiro Women on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Juventude W a 16% chance, the draw 27% and Bahia W 57%, so Bahia W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Juventude W and 1.3 for Bahia W (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Juventude W are averaging 0.57 points per game versus 1.57 for Bahia W. This match finished 2-2.

Juventude W vs Bahia W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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