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America Mineiro W vs RB Bragantino W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Matchday 17 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 21:00

America Mineiro W

PPG 0.50 · HOME

LAST 5

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1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

RB Bragantino W

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

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// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.5 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 53.8% vs bookmaker-implied 57.8%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.0%0-113.3%0-211.0%0-36.1%0-4+3.7%1 1-06.9%1-111.5%1-29.5%1-35.3%1-4+3.2%2 2-03.0%2-15.0%2-24.1%2-32.3%2-4+1.4%3 3-00.9%3-11.4%3-21.2%3-30.7%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.4%4+-20.3%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 23.1% 14.8% 6.75 +33.6%

Draw 23.2% 24.4% 4.10 -2.9%

Away win 53.7% 71.4% 1.40 -24.8%

Over 2.5 53.8% 57.8% 1.73 -6.9%

Over 3.5 31.1% 36.4% 2.75 -14.5%

BTTS 53.0% 54.6% 1.83 -3.0%

Home O1.5 30.6% 23.8% 4.20 +28.5%

Away O1.5 48.5% 66.7% 1.50 -27.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 85 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 54%

ROI -52.5%

Bet Hit 25%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 33%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob53.0%

A 54% / xG 0.9-1.7 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 13.3%

#2 1–1 11.5%

#3 0–2 11.0%

#4 1–2✓ 9.5%

#5 0–0 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

America Mineiro W0.9

RB Bragantino W1.7

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 31.1%

Form & verdict PPG

AMERICA MINEIRO W · PPG 0.50

RB BRAGANTINO W · PPG 1.00

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

65%

DANGER

xG gap -0.79 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

America Mineiro W (H) 23.1%

ODDS 6.75 · IMPLIED 14.8% EV +33.6%

Draw 23.2%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV -2.9%

RB Bragantino W (A) 53.7%

ODDS 1.40 · IMPLIED 71.4% EV -24.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

America Mineiro W face RB Bragantino W in Brazil - Brasileiro Women on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives America Mineiro W a 23% chance, the draw 23% and RB Bragantino W 54%, so RB Bragantino W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for America Mineiro W and 1.7 for RB Bragantino W (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, America Mineiro W are averaging 0.50 points per game versus 1.00 for RB Bragantino W. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +28.5%. This match finished 1-2.

America Mineiro W vs RB Bragantino W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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