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São Paulo W vs Mixto W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Matchday 17 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 21:00

São Paulo W

PPG 2.62 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWWD

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Mixto W

PPG 0.62 · AWAY

LAST 5

DDWLL

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +2.26 for Home, form 2.62 vs 0.62 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.7%0-11.9%0-20.4%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-012.4%1-15.0%1-21.0%1-30.1%1-4+0.0%2 2-016.6%2-16.6%2-21.3%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-014.7%3-15.9%3-21.2%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-018.6%4+-17.5%4+-21.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 76.2% — — —

Draw 16.2% — — —

Away win 7.6% — — —

Over 2.5 59.7% — — —

Over 3.5 36.6% — — —

BTTS 43.6% — — —

Home O1.5 65.1% — — —

Away O1.5 11.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 85 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 54%

ROI -52.5%

Bet Hit 25%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 16.6%

#2 3–0 14.7%

#3 1–0✓ 12.4%

#4 4–0 9.8%

#5 1–1 5.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

São Paulo W2.7

Mixto W0.4

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.6%

Form & verdict PPG

SÃO PAULO W · PPG 2.62

MIXTO W · PPG 0.62

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.26 for Home, form 2.62 vs 0.62 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

São Paulo W (H) 76.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 16.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Mixto W (A) 7.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

São Paulo W face Mixto W in Brazil - Brasileiro Women on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives São Paulo W a 76% chance, the draw 16% and Mixto W 8%, so São Paulo W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for São Paulo W and 0.4 for Mixto W (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, São Paulo W are averaging 2.62 points per game versus 0.62 for Mixto W. This match finished 1-0.

São Paulo W vs Mixto W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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