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Gremio W vs Botafogo W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Matchday 17 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 21:00

Gremio W

PPG 1.71 · HOME

LAST 5

WWLWD

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Botafogo W

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLLLL 

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +2.00 for Home, form 1.71 vs 0.00 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.2%0-12.5%0-20.6%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-012.9%1-16.2%1-21.5%1-30.2%1-4+0.0%2 2-016.0%2-17.6%2-21.8%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-013.2%3-16.3%3-21.5%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-014.7%4+-17.0%4+-21.7%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 74.7% — — —

Draw 17.2% — — —

Away win 8.1% — — —

Over 2.5 59.7% — — —

Over 3.5 36.6% — — —

BTTS 47.6% — — —

Home O1.5 65.1% — — —

Away O1.5 16.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 85 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 54%

ROI -52.5%

Bet Hit 25%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 16.0%

#2 3–0 13.2%

#3 1–0✓ 12.9%

#4 1–1 6.2%

#5 4–0 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gremio W2.5

Botafogo W0.5

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.6%

Form & verdict PPG

GREMIO W · PPG 1.71

BOTAFOGO W · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.00 for Home, form 1.71 vs 0.00 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Gremio W (H) 74.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Botafogo W (A) 8.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Gremio W face Botafogo W in Brazil - Brasileiro Women on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gremio W a 75% chance, the draw 17% and Botafogo W 8%, so Gremio W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Gremio W and 0.5 for Botafogo W (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gremio W are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 0.00 for Botafogo W. This match finished 1-0.

Gremio W vs Botafogo W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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