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Corinthians W vs Internacional RS W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Matchday 17 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 21:00

Corinthians W

PPG 2.75 · HOME

LAST 5

WWDLW

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME O1.5

Internacional RS W

PPG 1.75 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLDLW

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 65.1% vs bookmaker-implied 78.1%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.3%0-13.4%0-21.3%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-010.1%1-18.0%1-23.1%1-30.8%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.0%2-19.4%2-23.7%2-31.0%2-4+0.2%3 3-09.4%3-17.4%3-22.9%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-09.8%4+-17.7%4+-23.0%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 65.0% 82.0% 1.22 -20.7%

Draw 19.5% 19.2% 5.20 +0.8%

Away win 15.5% 8.3% 12.00 +51.6%

Over 2.5 61.4% 66.7% 1.50 -7.9%

Over 3.5 37.4% 44.4% 2.25 -15.8%

BTTS 53.0% 51.8% 1.93 +2.3%

Home O1.5 65.1% 78.1% 1.28 -16.7%

Away O1.5 20.8% 20.0% 5.00 +2.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 85 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 54%

ROI -52.5%

Bet Hit 25%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 48%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob53.0%

H 65% / xG 2.4-0.8 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 12.0%

#2 1–1 8.0%

#3 3–0 9.4%

#4 2–1 9.4%

#5 1–0 10.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Corinthians W2.4

Internacional RS W0.8

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.4% · O3.5 PROB 37.4%

Form & verdict PPG

CORINTHIANS W · PPG 2.75

INTERNACIONAL RS W · PPG 1.75

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

95%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.58 for Home, form 2.75 vs 1.75 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Corinthians W (H) 65.0%

ODDS 1.22 · IMPLIED 82.0% EV -20.7%

Draw 19.5%

ODDS 5.20 · IMPLIED 19.2% EV +0.8%

Internacional RS W (A) 15.5%

ODDS 12.00 · IMPLIED 8.3% EV +51.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Corinthians W face Internacional RS W in Brazil - Brasileiro Women on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Corinthians W a 65% chance, the draw 20% and Internacional RS W 16%, so Corinthians W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Corinthians W and 0.8 for Internacional RS W (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Corinthians W are averaging 2.75 points per game versus 1.75 for Internacional RS W. The best value bet our model finds is A/BTTS, with an expected value of +31.8%. This match finished 1-3.

Corinthians W vs Internacional RS W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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