Premijer Liga

BOSNIA · 28 MATCHES TRACKED · 17 APR 2026 – 26 MAY 2026

● LOW SAMPLE

FEWER THAN 10 SETTLED PICKS — NO VERDICT YET

// Model accuracy

How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 28 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.

57.1%

1X2

16/28

67.9%

O/U 2.5

19/28

60.7%

BTTS

17/28

57.1%

Exact score

16/28

// Published picks

Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.

Settled

55.6%

Hit rate

5/9

1.71

Avg odds

-11.0%

ROI

-1.0u

Picks by market

FLAT 1U · BREAK-EVEN AT IMPLIED % MARKED ▎· SMALL SAMPLES — READ WITH CARE

HOME WIN · N=7 57.1% HIT · AVG 1.69 · -7.7% ROI

BTTS · N=1 0.0% HIT · AVG 2.05 · -100.0% ROI

AWAY WIN · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.55 · +55.0% ROI

Picks by verdict tier

VERDICTS NORMALIZED INTO CONFIDENCE TIERS · LOW-CONFIDENCE FLAG OVERRIDES

🎯 Strong bet

Bets

Hit

-100.0%

ROI

✓ Solid

Bets

100%

Hit

+130.0%

ROI

✓ Fair / Caution

Bets

Hit

-100.0%

ROI

⚠ Low confidence

Bets

67%

Hit

-4.8%

ROI

Match log

28 RESOLVED · GROUPED BY MONTH · — MEANS NO PICK PUBLISHED

DateMatchPickEVFTResult

May 2026 // 3 PICKS · 2 HIT · 1 MISS

26 MAY Borac Banja L. vs Posusje Home 2–0 HIT 26 MAY Sloga Doboj vs Rudar Prijedor — NO PICK 1–0 —26 MAY Zrinjski Mostar vs Velez Mostar — NO PICK 3–0 —25 MAY Siroki Brijeg vs R. Bijeljina — NO PICK 4–0 —25 MAY FK Sarajevo vs Zeljeznicar — NO PICK 1–0 —10 MAY Zeljeznicar vs Sloga Doboj — NO PICK 3–0 —10 MAY Siroki Brijeg vs Borac Banja L. Away -7% 0–1 HIT 9 MAY Rudar Prijedor vs FK Sarajevo — NO PICK 2–4 —9 MAY R. Bijeljina vs Zrinjski Mostar — NO PICK 0–1 —9 MAY Posusje vs Velez Mostar — NO PICK 1–1 —3 MAY FK Sarajevo vs Borac Banja L. BTTS +5% 0–1 MISS 2 MAY Rudar Prijedor vs Posusje — NO PICK 3–2 —2 MAY Sloga Doboj vs Siroki Brijeg — NO PICK 2–0 —

April 2026 // 1 PICK · 1 HIT · 0 MISS

26 APR Borac Banja L. vs Sloga Doboj Home +5% 3–1 HIT 26 APR Siroki Brijeg vs Zrinjski Mostar — NO PICK 2–1 —