Today / Bosnia - Premijer Liga / Sloga Doboj vs Rudar Prijedor

Sloga Doboj vs Rudar Prijedor Prediction— Bosnia - Premijer Liga

Regular Season - 36 ·Tuesday, May 26, 2026, 16:00

Sloga Doboj logo
Sloga Doboj
PPG 1.29 · HOME
1 – 0
FULL TIME
Rudar Prijedor logo
Rudar Prijedor
PPG 0.65 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-018.1%0-114.9%0-26.1%0-31.7%0-4+0.4%1 1-016.0%1-113.2%1-25.4%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-07.1%2-15.9%2-22.4%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-02.1%3-11.7%3-20.7%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.5%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 37.5% 57.1% 1.75 -34.4%
Draw 35.3% 31.7% 3.15 +11.2%
Away win 27.2% 24.4% 4.10 +6.9%
Over 2.5 35.0% 45.5% 2.20 -23.0%
Over 3.5 9.5% 25.3% 3.95 -37.5%
BTTS 46.2% 50.0% 2.00 -7.6%
Home O1.5 22.4% 49.0% 2.04 -32.6%
Away O1.5 19.9%

League track record

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%
O2.5 68%
BTTS 61%
Score Hit 57%
ROI -11.0%
Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 35%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-0
xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob46.2%

H 38% / xG 0.9-0.8 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 18.1%
#2 1–1 13.2%
#3 1–0 16.0%
#4 0–1 14.9%
#5 2–0 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sloga Doboj0.9
Rudar Prijedor0.8

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.0% · O3.5 PROB 9.5%

Form & verdict PPG

SLOGA DOBOJ · PPG 1.29

RUDAR PRIJEDOR · PPG 0.65

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.29) > Away POOR (0.65)

Win probability 1X2

Sloga Doboj (H) 37.5%
ODDS 1.75 · IMPLIED 57.1% EV -34.4%
Draw 35.3%
ODDS 3.15 · IMPLIED 31.7% EV +11.2%
Rudar Prijedor (A) 27.2%
ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV +6.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sloga Doboj face Rudar Prijedor in Bosnia - Premijer Liga on Tuesday, May 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sloga Doboj a 38% chance, the draw 35% and Rudar Prijedor 27%, so Sloga Doboj are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Sloga Doboj and 0.8 for Rudar Prijedor (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sloga Doboj are averaging 1.29 points per game versus 0.65 for Rudar Prijedor. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +11.2%. This match finished 1-0.

PredictVantage

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