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Zeljeznicar vs Sloga Doboj Prediction— Bosnia - Premijer Liga

Regular Season - 33 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 15:30

Zeljeznicar

PPG 1.25 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

Sloga Doboj

PPG 0.38 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-019.4%0-110.7%0-23.0%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-021.1%1-111.7%1-23.2%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-011.4%2-16.3%2-21.7%2-30.3%2-4+0.1%3 3-04.1%3-12.3%3-20.6%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-10.8%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.5% 56.5% 1.77 -19.5%

Draw 33.1% 31.3% 3.20 +5.9%

Away win 21.4% 22.2% 4.50 -2.2%

Over 2.5 35.1% 46.5% 2.15 -24.5%

Over 3.5 8.4% 25.6% 3.90 -40.3%

BTTS 45.9% 51.8% 1.93 -11.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 57%

ROI -11.0%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 38%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob45.9%

H 46% / xG 1.1-0.6 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 19.4%

#2 1–0 21.1%

#3 1–1 11.7%

#4 2–0 11.4%

#5 0–1 10.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Zeljeznicar1.1

Sloga Doboj0.6

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.1% · O3.5 PROB 8.4%

Form & verdict PPG

ZELJEZNICAR · PPG 1.25

SLOGA DOBOJ · PPG 0.38

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.25) vs P(Home)=45.5%

Win probability 1X2

Zeljeznicar (H) 45.5%

ODDS 1.77 · IMPLIED 56.5% EV -19.5%

Draw 33.1%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV +5.9%

Sloga Doboj (A) 21.4%

ODDS 4.50 · IMPLIED 22.2% EV -2.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Zeljeznicar face Sloga Doboj in Bosnia - Premijer Liga on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Zeljeznicar a 46% chance, the draw 33% and Sloga Doboj 21%, so Zeljeznicar are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Zeljeznicar and 0.6 for Sloga Doboj (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Zeljeznicar are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 0.38 for Sloga Doboj. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +5.9%. This match finished 3-0.

Zeljeznicar vs Sloga Doboj Prediction— Bosnia - Premijer Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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