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Radnik Bijeljina vs Borac Banja Luka Prediction— Bosnia - Premijer Liga

Matchday 4 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 19:00

Radnik Bijeljina

PPG 1.22 · HOME

LAST 5

DLLD ·

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY

Borac Banja Luka

PPG 1.86 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWD ··

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 44.8% vs bookmaker-implied 69.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.9%0-112.1%0-28.2%0-33.7%0-4+1.7%1 1-09.5%1-112.8%1-28.7%1-33.9%1-4+1.8%2 2-05.0%2-16.8%2-24.6%2-32.1%2-4+0.9%3 3-01.8%3-12.4%3-21.6%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.8%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 29.2% 13.9% 7.20 +66.1%

Draw 26.0% 26.7% 3.75 -1.5%

Away win 44.8% 69.4% 1.44 -35.5%

Over 2.5 50.5% 48.8% 2.05 +3.5%

Over 3.5 28.7% 27.4% 3.65 +2.9%

BTTS 52.7% 46.5% 2.15 +13.3%

Home O1.5 30.9% 18.2% 5.50 +70.0%

Away O1.5 40.9% 58.8% 1.70 -30.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 62%

ROI -5.4%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 21%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob52.7%

A 45% / xG 1.1-1.4 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.8%

#2 0–1 12.1%

#3 1–2 8.7%

#4 0–0 8.9%

#5 0–2 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Radnik Bijeljina1.1

Borac Banja Luka1.4

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.5% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

RADNIK BIJELJINA · PPG 1.22

BORAC BANJA LUKA · PPG 1.86

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.29, combined xG 2.42 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Radnik Bijeljina (H) 29.2%

ODDS 7.20 · IMPLIED 13.9% EV +66.1%

Draw 26.0%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -1.5%

Borac Banja Luka (A) 44.8%

ODDS 1.44 · IMPLIED 69.4% EV -35.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Radnik Bijeljina face Borac Banja Luka in Bosnia - Premijer Liga on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Radnik Bijeljina a 29% chance, the draw 26% and Borac Banja Luka 45%, so Borac Banja Luka are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Radnik Bijeljina and 1.4 for Borac Banja Luka (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Radnik Bijeljina are averaging 1.22 points per game versus 1.86 for Borac Banja Luka. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +85.8%. This match finished 2-2.

Radnik Bijeljina vs Borac Banja Luka Prediction— Bosnia - Premijer Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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