Leagues / AUSTRALIA / NPL South Australia
NPL South Australia
● LOW SAMPLE
FEWER THAN 10 SETTLED PICKS — NO VERDICT YET
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 33 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
54.5%
1X2
18/33
51.5%
O/U 2.5
17/33
51.5%
BTTS
17/33
36.4%
Exact score
12/33
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
2
Settled
50.0%
Hit rate
1/2
1.73
Avg odds
-13.5%
ROI
-0.3u
Picks by market
HOME O1.5 · N=2 50.0% HIT · AVG 1.73 · -13.5% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
✓ Fair / Caution
2
Bets
50%
Hit
-13.5%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
August 2026 // 15 PICKS · 8 HIT · 7 MISS
29 AUG Playford City Patriots vs Adelaide City BTTS -17% 1–2 HIT29 AUG MetroStars vs West Torrens Birkalla HO1.5 2–2 HIT22 AUG Playford City Patriots vs FK Beograd BTTS -18% 3–0 MISS22 AUG MetroStars vs Croydon Kings HO1.5 2–0 HIT15 AUG Para Hills Knights vs Adelaide Comets Over 2.5 2–5 HIT15 AUG West Torrens Birkalla vs Adelaide United II Home -29% 2–1 HIT15 AUG MetroStars vs Croydon Kings Over 2.5 2–0 MISS15 AUG Sturt Lions vs Campbelltown City Over 2.5 -5% 1–3 HIT15 AUG FK Beograd vs Adelaide City BTTS -13% 0–3 MISS15 AUG West Adelaide vs Playford City Patriots Over 2.5 -8% 1–2 HIT8 AUG Croydon Kings vs Sturt Lions Over 2.5 1–1 MISS8 AUG Adelaide United II vs Para Hills Knights HO1.5 5–2 HIT7 AUG Adelaide Comets vs MetroStars AO1.5 0–1 MISS7 AUG Adelaide City vs Playford City Patriots Over 2.5 -6% 1–0 MISS7 AUG Campbelltown City vs FK Beograd BTTS -16% 2–0 MISS