Today / Australia - NPL South Australia / Campbelltown City vs FK Beograd

Campbelltown City vs FK Beograd Prediction— Australia - NPL South Australia

Matchday 21 ·Friday, August 7, 2026, 10:00

Campbelltown City

PPG 1.40 · HOME

UPCOMING

FK Beograd

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.11 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.6%0-19.3%0-26.6%0-33.1%0-4+1.5%1 1-08.6%1-112.2%1-28.6%1-34.1%1-4+2.0%2 2-05.6%2-17.9%2-25.6%2-32.6%2-4+1.3%3 3-02.4%3-13.4%3-22.4%3-31.1%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.5%4+-21.1%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.4% — — —

Draw 25.0% — — —

Away win 42.5% — — —

Over 2.5 53.5% — — —

Over 3.5 32.3% — — —

BTTS 54.6% — — —

Home O1.5 37.4% — — —

Away O1.5 43.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 17 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 47%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 24%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 30%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob54.6%

A 42% / xG 1.3-1.4 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.2%

#2 1–2 8.6%

#3 0–0 6.6%

#4 2–1 7.9%

#5 0–1 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Campbelltown City1.3

FK Beograd1.4

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 32.3%

Form & verdict PPG

CAMPBELLTOWN CITY · PPG 1.40

FK BEOGRAD · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.11 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Campbelltown City (H) 32.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

FK Beograd (A) 42.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Campbelltown City face FK Beograd in Australia - NPL South Australia on Friday, August 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Campbelltown City a 32% chance, the draw 25% and FK Beograd 43%, so FK Beograd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Campbelltown City and 1.4 for FK Beograd (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Campbelltown City are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 1.40 for FK Beograd.

Campbelltown City vs FK Beograd Prediction— Australia - NPL South Australia

Match Preview & Prediction

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