Predict
Vantage
Today
Top Picks
Accuracy
Leagues
← Back to picks
Saudi-Arabia - Pro League
Regular Season - 28
Al-Shabab Club Stadium· Riyadh
Sunday, May 17, 2026
18:00
Al Shabab
PPG 1.19
3-2
MISS
Al Ittihad
PPG 1.50
Draw· -1.0%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
28.9%
Odds: 3.10
EV: -6.3%
Draw
25.2%
Odds: 3.90
EV: -1.0%
Away
45.9%
Odds: 2.05
EV: -5.9%
Model lean:
Over 2.5
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
61.4%
Odds: 1.50
-7.9%
Over 3.5
40.7%
Odds: 2.25
-8.4%
BTTS
59.7%
Odds: 1.44
-14.0%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔
BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
1-2
✘
3rd
0-2
✘
4th
2-1
✘
5th
2-2
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Al Shabab
1.36
Al Ittihad
1.89
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5
-7.9%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -7.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45%
DANGER
Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.19) vs Away GOOD (1.50)