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Saudi-Arabia - Pro League logo Saudi-Arabia flag Saudi-Arabia - Pro League Regular Season - 28 Al-Shabab Club Stadium· Riyadh Sunday, May 17, 2026 18:00
Al Shabab logo Al Shabab PPG 1.19
3-2 MISS
Al Ittihad logo Al Ittihad PPG 1.50
Draw· -1.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 28.9%
Odds: 3.10 EV: -6.3%
Draw 25.2%
Odds: 3.90 EV: -1.0%
Away 45.9%
Odds: 2.05 EV: -5.9%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.4% Odds: 1.50 -7.9%
Over 3.5 40.7% Odds: 2.25 -8.4%
BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.44 -14.0%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 0-2
4th 2-1
5th 2-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Shabab
1.36
Al Ittihad
1.89

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -7.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -7.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45%
DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.19) vs Away GOOD (1.50)

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