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Al Feiha vs Al Hilal Prediction— Saudi-Arabia - Pro League

Matchday 34 ·Thursday, May 21, 2026, 18:00

Al Feiha

PPG 1.50 · HOME

LAST 5

DWLLL

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Al Hilal

PPG 2.38 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWDWW

// Model verdict

Away 78% chance

Model probability 64.3% vs bookmaker-implied 83.3%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.0%0-19.1%0-210.6%0-38.1%0-4+8.1%1 1-03.6%1-18.4%1-29.7%1-37.5%1-4+7.4%2 2-01.7%2-13.9%2-24.5%2-33.4%2-4+3.4%3 3-00.5%3-11.2%3-21.4%3-31.1%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.3%4+-20.4%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.7% 7.1% 14.00 +55.1%

Draw 22.0% 16.1% 6.20 +21.8%

Away win 64.3% 83.3% 1.20 -22.8%

Over 2.5 61.4% 69.4% 1.44 -11.6%

Over 3.5 40.4% 47.6% 2.10 -15.2%

BTTS 53.4% 52.6% 1.90 +1.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 78 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 49%

Score Hit 41%

ROI -20.4%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 49%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)2.3 BTTS prob53.4%

A 64% / xG 0.9-2.3 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 10.6%

#2 1–2 9.7%

#3 1–1 8.4%

#4 0–3 8.1%

#5 0–1✓ 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Feiha0.9

Al Hilal2.3

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.4% · O3.5 PROB 40.4%

Form & verdict PPG

AL FEIHA · PPG 1.50

AL HILAL · PPG 2.38

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

Chance this pick lands

78%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.38) vs Home GOOD (1.50)

Win probability 1X2

Al Feiha (H) 13.7%

ODDS 14.00 · IMPLIED 7.1% EV +55.1%

Draw 22.0%

ODDS 6.20 · IMPLIED 16.1% EV +21.8%

Al Hilal (A) 64.3%

ODDS 1.20 · IMPLIED 83.3% EV -22.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Feiha face Al Hilal in Saudi-Arabia - Pro League on Thursday, May 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Feiha a 14% chance, the draw 22% and Al Hilal 64%, so Al Hilal are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Al Feiha and 2.3 for Al Hilal (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Feiha are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 2.38 for Al Hilal. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +55.1%. This match finished 0-1.

Al Feiha vs Al Hilal Prediction— Saudi-Arabia - Pro League

Match Preview & Prediction

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