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Saudi-Arabia - Pro League logo Saudi-Arabia flag Saudi-Arabia - Pro League Regular Season - 34 Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium· Dammam Wednesday, May 20, 2026 18:00
Al Khaleej logo Al Khaleej PPG 1.25
1-4 MISS
Al Ahli Jeddah logo Al Ahli Jeddah PPG 2.06
Home· +21.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
63% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 22.0%
Odds: 6.20 EV: +21.8%
Draw 23.8%
Odds: 4.50 EV: +4.3%
Away 54.2%
Odds: 1.45 EV: -21.4%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.1% Odds: 1.55 -8.4%
Over 3.5 33.7% Odds: 2.35 -20.8%
BTTS 53.7% Odds: 1.62 -13.0%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-2
3rd 1-2
4th 0-1
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Khaleej
1.00
Al Ahli Jeddah
1.93

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -8.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -8.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+21.8%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.06) vs Home AVERAGE (1.25)

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