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Saudi-Arabia - Pro League logo Saudi-Arabia flag Saudi-Arabia - Pro League Regular Season - 34 King Abdullah Sports City· Jeddah Thursday, May 21, 2026 18:00
Al Ittihad logo Al Ittihad PPG 1.94
1-5 MISS
Al Quadisiya logo Al Quadisiya PPG 2.19
Away· +5.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 28.7%
Odds: 2.80 EV: -11.8%
Draw 25.5%
Odds: 3.70 EV: -3.4%
Away 45.9%
Odds: 2.30 EV: +5.6%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.1% Odds: 1.48 -12.5%
Over 3.5 36.5% Odds: 2.15 -21.5%
BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.38 -17.6%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 0-2
4th 0-1
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Ittihad
1.24
Al Quadisiya
1.82

Model Suggestion

BTTS -17.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -17.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+5.6%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%
O2.5/Under 56%
BTTS/No 56%
Score Hit 50%
ROI -4.1%
Bet Hit 55% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.94), Away EXCELLENT (2.19)

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