Al Riyadh vs Al Akhdoud Prediction & Tips

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Saudi-Arabia - Pro League Regular Season - 34 Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium· Riyadh Thursday, May 21, 2026 18:00

Al Riyadh PPG 1.06

1-0 HIT CS2

Al Akhdoud PPG 0.31

Away· +49.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 50.5%

Odds: 1.36 EV: -31.3%

Draw 25.4%

Odds: 4.75 EV: +12.4%

Away 24.0%

Odds: 7.60 EV: +49.4%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 47.6% Odds: 1.55 -26.2%

Over 3.5 25.0% Odds: 2.35 -24.8%

BTTS 51.6% Odds: 1.70 -12.3%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✔

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Riyadh

1.55

Al Akhdoud

0.99

Model SuggestionBTTS -12.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -12.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+49.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.06) > Away POOR (0.31)