Al Nassr vs Damak Prediction & Tips

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Saudi-Arabia - Pro League Regular Season - 34 King Saud University Stadium· Riyadh Thursday, May 21, 2026 18:00

Al Nassr PPG 2.69

4-1 MISS

Damak PPG 0.69

Away· +83.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

66% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 68.1%

Odds: 1.09 EV: -25.8%

Draw 22.7%

Odds: 8.60 EV: +57.1%

Away 9.2%

Odds: 26.00 EV: +83.5%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 62.6% Odds: 1.33 -16.7%

Over 3.5 43.5% Odds: 1.83 -20.4%

BTTS 49.2% Odds: 2.20 +8.2%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0 ✘

2nd 3-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 4-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Nassr

2.75

Damak

0.62

Model SuggestionHome -25.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -25.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+83.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.69), Away POOR (0.69) - Strong consensus