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Pharco vs National Bank Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Relegation Group - 12 ·Friday, May 22, 2026, 17:00

Pharco

PPG 0.87 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

National Bank

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-026.6%0-122.8%0-29.8%0-32.8%0-4+0.7%1 1-012.4%1-110.7%1-24.6%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-02.9%2-12.5%2-21.1%2-30.3%2-4+0.1%3 3-00.5%3-10.4%3-20.2%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.0%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 20.8% 23.8% 4.20 -7.6%

Draw 39.5% 30.3% 3.30 +30.3%

Away win 39.7% 54.9% 1.82 -27.8%

Over 2.5 25.8% 46.5% 2.15 -26.7%

Over 3.5 4.6% 25.6% 3.90 -49.2%

BTTS 41.8% 52.4% 1.91 -20.2%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 46%

ROI -23.4%

Bet Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 34%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)0.5 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob41.8%

A 40% / xG 0.5-0.9 / U2.5 26% / NoBTTS 42%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 26.6%

#2 0–1✓ 22.8%

#3 1–1 10.7%

#4 1–0 12.4%

#5 0–2 9.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Pharco0.5

National Bank0.9

COMBINED 1.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 25.8% · O3.5 PROB 4.6%

Form & verdict PPG

PHARCO · PPG 0.87

NATIONAL BANK · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.50) vs Home POOR (0.87)

Win probability 1X2

Pharco (H) 20.8%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -7.6%

Draw 39.5%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV +30.3%

National Bank (A) 39.7%

ODDS 1.82 · IMPLIED 54.9% EV -27.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Pharco face National Bank in Egypt - Premier League on Friday, May 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pharco a 21% chance, the draw 40% and National Bank 40%, so National Bank are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.5 for Pharco and 0.9 for National Bank (1.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 26% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pharco are averaging 0.87 points per game versus 1.50 for National Bank. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +30.3%. This match finished 0-1.

Pharco vs National Bank Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Egypt - Premier League Predictions