Today / Egypt - Premier League / El Gouna vs El Geish
El Gouna vs El Geish Prediction— Egypt - Premier League
Relegation Group - 12 ·Friday, May 22, 2026, 14:00
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
League track record ↗
Based on 54 resolved predictions
Correct score prediction
H 35% / xG 0.7-0.5 / U2.5 24% / NoBTTS 29%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 1.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 23.8% · O3.5 PROB 2.9%
Form & verdict
EL GOUNA · PPG 1.07
EL GEISH · PPG 0.81
Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.07), Away POOR (0.81)
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
El Gouna face El Geish in Egypt - Premier League on Friday, May 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives El Gouna a 35% chance, the draw 41% and El Geish 24%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.7 for El Gouna and 0.5 for El Geish (1.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 24% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 29% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, El Gouna are averaging 1.07 points per game versus 0.81 for El Geish. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +7.4%. This match finished 2-1.