Today / Egypt - Premier League / Petrojet vs El Gouna

Petrojet vs El Gouna Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Relegation Group - 13 ·Thursday, May 28, 2026, 14:00

Petrojet

PPG 1.47 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

El Gouna

PPG 1.47 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-021.7%0-114.9%0-25.1%0-31.2%0-4+0.2%1 1-018.2%1-112.5%1-24.3%1-31.0%1-4+0.2%2 2-07.6%2-15.3%2-21.8%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-02.1%3-11.5%3-20.5%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.4%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.5% 43.1% 2.32 -10.7%

Draw 35.6% 33.3% 3.00 +6.8%

Away win 26.0% 32.3% 3.10 -11.6%

Over 2.5 35.0% 38.5% 2.60 -9.0%

Over 3.5 10.1% 19.0% 5.25 -28.2%

BTTS 46.2% 47.6% 2.10 -3.0%

Home O1.5 20.5% 35.7% 2.80 -25.6%

Away O1.5 15.2% 28.2% 3.55 -27.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 46%

ROI -23.4%

Bet Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 33%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob46.2%

H 38% / xG 0.8-0.7 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 21.7%

#2 1–0 18.2%

#3 1–1 12.5%

#4 0–1 14.9%

#5 2–0 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Petrojet0.8

El Gouna0.7

COMBINED 1.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.0% · O3.5 PROB 10.1%

Form & verdict PPG

PETROJET · PPG 1.47

EL GOUNA · PPG 1.47

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.47), Away AVERAGE (1.47)

Win probability 1X2

Petrojet (H) 38.5%

ODDS 2.32 · IMPLIED 43.1% EV -10.7%

Draw 35.6%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV +6.8%

El Gouna (A) 26.0%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -11.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Petrojet face El Gouna in Egypt - Premier League on Thursday, May 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Petrojet a 39% chance, the draw 36% and El Gouna 26%, so Petrojet are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Petrojet and 0.7 for El Gouna (1.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Petrojet are averaging 1.47 points per game versus 1.47 for El Gouna. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +6.8%. This match finished 1-2.

Petrojet vs El Gouna Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Egypt - Premier League Predictions