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National Bank vs Al Ittihad Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Relegation Group - 13 ·Friday, May 29, 2026, 17:00

National Bank

PPG 1.35 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

Al Ittihad

PPG 0.71 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-018.2%0-111.6%0-23.7%0-30.8%0-4+0.1%1 1-019.4%1-112.4%1-23.9%1-30.8%1-4+0.2%2 2-010.4%2-16.6%2-22.1%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-03.7%3-12.3%3-20.7%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-10.8%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.9% 50.5% 1.98 -15.1%

Draw 33.1% 33.8% 2.96 -2.0%

Away win 24.0% 25.0% 4.00 -2.4%

Over 2.5 34.0% 40.8% 2.45 -16.7%

Over 3.5 18.6% 21.1% 4.75 -7.0%

BTTS 45.5% 48.8% 2.05 -6.7%

Home O1.5 28.9% 42.0% 2.38 -18.7%

Away O1.5 13.4% 25.0% 4.00 -27.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 46%

ROI -23.4%

Bet Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 38%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob45.5%

H 43% / xG 1.1-0.6 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 18.2%

#2 1–0 19.4%

#3 1–1 12.4%

#4 2–0 10.4%

#5 0–1 11.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

National Bank1.1

Al Ittihad0.6

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.0% · O3.5 PROB 18.6%

Form & verdict PPG

NATIONAL BANK · PPG 1.35

AL ITTIHAD · PPG 0.71

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.35) > Away POOR (0.71)

Win probability 1X2

National Bank (H) 42.9%

ODDS 1.98 · IMPLIED 50.5% EV -15.1%

Draw 33.1%

ODDS 2.96 · IMPLIED 33.8% EV -2.0%

Al Ittihad (A) 24.0%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -2.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

National Bank face Al Ittihad in Egypt - Premier League on Friday, May 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives National Bank a 43% chance, the draw 33% and Al Ittihad 24%, so National Bank are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for National Bank and 0.6 for Al Ittihad (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, National Bank are averaging 1.35 points per game versus 0.71 for Al Ittihad. This match finished 2-2.

National Bank vs Al Ittihad Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Egypt - Premier League Predictions