Today / Egypt - Premier League / Haras El Hodood vs Petrojet

Haras El Hodood vs Petrojet Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Relegation Group - 12 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 17:00

Haras El Hodood

PPG 1.00 · HOME

0 – 3

FULL TIME

Petrojet

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.8%0-116.1%0-28.2%0-32.8%0-4+0.9%1 1-013.0%1-113.3%1-26.8%1-32.3%1-4+0.7%2 2-05.4%2-15.5%2-22.8%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-01.5%3-11.5%3-20.8%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.4%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 29.0% 37.6% 2.66 -13.7%

Draw 33.9% 33.9% 2.95 +0.0%

Away win 37.0% 37.6% 2.66 -1.6%

Over 2.5 35.0% 42.6% 2.35 -17.8%

Over 3.5 11.6% 22.2% 4.50 -28.7%

BTTS 48.6% 51.8% 1.93 -6.2%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 46%

ROI -23.4%

Bet Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-3

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob48.6%

D 34% / xG 0.8-1.0 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 15.8%

#2 1–1 13.3%

#3 0–1 16.1%

#4 1–0 13.0%

#5 0–2 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Haras El Hodood0.8

Petrojet1.0

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.0% · O3.5 PROB 11.6%

Form & verdict PPG

HARAS EL HODOOD · PPG 1.00

PETROJET · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.25)

Win probability 1X2

Haras El Hodood (H) 29.0%

ODDS 2.66 · IMPLIED 37.6% EV -13.7%

Draw 33.9%

ODDS 2.95 · IMPLIED 33.9% EV +0.0%

Petrojet (A) 37.0%

ODDS 2.66 · IMPLIED 37.6% EV -1.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Haras El Hodood face Petrojet in Egypt - Premier League on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Haras El Hodood a 29% chance, the draw 34% and Petrojet 37%, so Petrojet are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Haras El Hodood and 1.0 for Petrojet (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Haras El Hodood are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.25 for Petrojet. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +0.0%. This match finished 0-3.

Haras El Hodood vs Petrojet Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Egypt - Premier League Predictions