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Portland T. W vs Utah Royals W Prediction— USA - NWSL Women

Group Stage ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 20:00

Portland T. W

PPG 2.60 · HOME

LAST 5

LWWWD

2 – 2

FULL TIME

Utah Royals W

PPG 1.83 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLWLW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.3%0-113.8%0-25.5%0-31.5%0-4+0.3%1 1-016.5%1-113.2%1-25.3%1-31.4%1-4+0.3%2 2-07.9%2-16.3%2-22.5%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-02.5%3-12.0%3-20.8%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.6%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.6% 43.5% 2.30 -15.8%

Draw 35.2% 31.3% 3.20 +12.6%

Away win 28.2% 35.7% 2.80 -12.6%

Over 2.5 34.0% 51.3% 1.95 -33.7%

Over 3.5 18.6% 29.0% 3.45 -21.5%

BTTS 46.5% 58.8% 1.70 -20.9%

Home O1.5 24.7% 44.4% 2.25 -26.7%

Away O1.5 19.1% 38.5% 2.60 -30.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 98 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 46%

ROI -6.6%

Bet Hit 54%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 56%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob46.5%

D 35% / xG 1.0-0.8 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 17.3%

#2 1–1 13.2%

#3 1–0 16.5%

#4 0–1 13.8%

#5 2–0 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Portland T. W1.0

Utah Royals W0.8

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.0% · O3.5 PROB 18.6%

Form & verdict PPG

PORTLAND T. W · PPG 2.60

UTAH ROYALS W · PPG 1.83

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

Chance this pick lands

47%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.60) > Away GOOD (1.83)

Win probability 1X2

Portland T. W (H) 36.6%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV -15.8%

Draw 35.2%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV +12.6%

Utah Royals W (A) 28.2%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -12.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Portland T. W face Utah Royals W in USA - NWSL Women on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Portland T. W a 37% chance, the draw 35% and Utah Royals W 28%, so Portland T. W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Portland T. W and 0.8 for Utah Royals W (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Portland T. W are averaging 2.60 points per game versus 1.83 for Utah Royals W. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +12.6%. This match finished 2-2.

Portland T. W vs Utah Royals W Prediction— USA - NWSL Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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