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Chicago RS W vs San Diego W. W Prediction— USA - NWSL Women

Group Stage ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 17:00

Chicago RS W

PPG 1.20 · HOME

LAST 5

DLLWL

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

San Diego W. W

PPG 2.17 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLDWW

// Model verdict

Away 66% chance

Model probability 61.2% vs bookmaker-implied 67.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.4%0-116.2%0-213.9%0-38.0%0-4+5.1%1 1-06.0%1-110.4%1-29.0%1-35.1%1-4+3.3%2 2-01.9%2-13.3%2-22.9%2-31.7%2-4+1.1%3 3-00.4%3-10.7%3-20.6%3-30.4%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 14.5% 17.4% 5.75 -10.0%

Draw 24.3% 24.4% 4.10 -0.2%

Away win 61.2% 67.6% 1.48 -9.4%

Over 2.5 48.5% 58.8% 1.70 -17.5%

Over 3.5 27.9% 36.4% 2.75 -14.0%

BTTS 47.2% 55.6% 1.80 -15.0%

Home O1.5 13.6% 26.0% 3.85 -28.6%

Away O1.5 51.4% 65.4% 1.53 -21.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 98 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 46%

ROI -6.6%

Bet Hit 54%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 37%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob47.2%

A 61% / xG 0.6-1.7 / U2.5 48% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 16.2%

#2 0–2✓ 13.9%

#3 1–1 10.4%

#4 0–0 9.4%

#5 1–2 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Chicago RS W0.6

San Diego W. W1.7

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 48.5% · O3.5 PROB 27.9%

Form & verdict PPG

CHICAGO RS W · PPG 1.20

SAN DIEGO W. W · PPG 2.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

66%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.17) vs Home AVERAGE (1.20)

Win probability 1X2

Chicago RS W (H) 14.5%

ODDS 5.75 · IMPLIED 17.4% EV -10.0%

Draw 24.3%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV -0.2%

San Diego W. W (A) 61.2%

ODDS 1.48 · IMPLIED 67.6% EV -9.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Chicago RS W face San Diego W. W in USA - NWSL Women on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Chicago RS W a 14% chance, the draw 24% and San Diego W. W 61%, so San Diego W. W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Chicago RS W and 1.7 for San Diego W. W (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Chicago RS W are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 2.17 for San Diego W. W. This match finished 0-2.

Chicago RS W vs San Diego W. W Prediction— USA - NWSL Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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