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Henan SL vs Shanghai Port Prediction— China - Super League

Regular Season - 16 ·Saturday, June 27, 2026, 11:35

Henan SL

PPG 1.43 · HOME

UPCOMING

Shanghai Port

PPG 0.71 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.8% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.3%0-111.3%0-26.2%0-32.3%0-4+0.8%1 1-012.1%1-113.3%1-27.3%1-32.7%1-4+0.9%2 2-07.2%2-17.8%2-24.3%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-02.8%3-13.1%3-21.7%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.2%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 39.7% 2.16 -14.2%

Draw 27.6% 3.35 -4.5%

Away win 32.7% 3.05 -0.3%

Over 2.5 49.8% 1.80 -10.4%

Over 3.5 28.6% 3.00 -8.5%

BTTS 52.8% 1.62 -14.5%

Home Over 1.5 35.5% 2.05 -27.2%

Away Over 1.5 36.3% 2.60 -5.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 44 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 25%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 23%

ROI -16.5%

Bet Hit 52%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 21%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob52.8%

H 40% / xG 1.2-1.1 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.3%

#2 0–0 10.3%

#3 1–0 12.1%

#4 0–1 11.3%

#5 2–1 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Henan SL1.2

Shanghai Port1.1

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.8% · O3.5 PROB 28.6%

Form & verdict PPG

HENAN SL · PPG 1.43

SHANGHAI PORT · PPG 0.71

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.43) > Away POOR (0.71)

Win probability 1X2

Henan SL (H) 39.7%

ODDS 2.16 · IMPLIED 46.3% EV -14.2%

Draw 27.6%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -4.5%

Shanghai Port (A) 32.7%

ODDS 3.05 · IMPLIED 32.8% EV -0.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Henan SL face Shanghai Port in China - Super League on Saturday, June 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Henan SL a 40% chance, the draw 28% and Shanghai Port 33%, so Henan SL are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Henan SL and 1.1 for Shanghai Port (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Henan SL are averaging 1.43 points per game versus 0.71 for Shanghai Port.

Henan SL vs Shanghai Port Prediction— China - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

More China - Super League Predictions