Umraniyespor vs Keciorengucu Prediction— Turkey - 1. Lig

Turkey - 1. Lig Regular Season - 38 Spoi?nt I?nsaat Ümrani?yespor Stadyumu· Istanbul Saturday, May 2, 2026 13:00

Umraniyespor PPG 1.56

1-4 MISS

Keciorengucu PPG 1.28

Home· +110.8% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Umraniyespor face Keciorengucu in Turkey - 1. Lig on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Umraniyespor a 34% chance, the draw 29% and Keciorengucu 37%, so Keciorengucu are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Umraniyespor and 1.4 for Keciorengucu (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Umraniyespor are averaging 1.56 points per game versus 1.28 for Keciorengucu. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +110.8%. This match finished 1-4.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 34.0%

Odds: 6.20 EV: +110.8%

Draw 29.0%

Odds: 4.10 EV: +18.9%

Away 37.0%

Odds: 1.44 EV: -46.7%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.6% Odds: 1.55 -18.5%

Over 3.5 30.4% Odds: 2.35 -28.6%

BTTS 58.2% Odds: 1.65 -4.0%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 0-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Umraniyespor

1.36

Keciorengucu

1.42

Model SuggestionBTTS -4.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -4.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+110.8%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5/Under 52%

BTTS/No 48%

Score Hit 48%

ROI -82.8%

Bet Hit 17% (6 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.56), Away AVERAGE (1.28)