Bandirmaspor vs Sivasspor Prediction— Turkey - 1. Lig

Turkey - 1. Lig Regular Season - 38 Bandirma 17 Eylül Stadi· Balıkesir Saturday, May 2, 2026 13:00

Bandirmaspor PPG 1.94

1-0 HIT CS3

Sivasspor PPG 1.22

Away· +29.0% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Bandirmaspor face Sivasspor in Turkey - 1. Lig on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bandirmaspor a 42% chance, the draw 32% and Sivasspor 26%, so Bandirmaspor are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Bandirmaspor and 1.0 for Sivasspor (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bandirmaspor are averaging 1.94 points per game versus 1.22 for Sivasspor. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +29.0%. This match finished 1-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 42.0%

Odds: 1.60 EV: -32.8%

Draw 32.2%

Odds: 3.65 EV: +17.5%

Away 25.8%

Odds: 5.00 EV: +29.0%

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 39.0% Odds: 1.93 -24.7%

Over 3.5 19.0% Odds: 3.35 -36.4%

BTTS 46.7% Odds: 1.85 -13.6%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✔

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Bandirmaspor

1.29

Sivasspor

0.96

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5/Under 52%

BTTS/No 48%

Score Hit 48%

ROI -82.8%

Bet Hit 17% (6 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.94) > Away AVERAGE (1.22)