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Bandirmaspor vs Sivasspor Prediction— Turkey - 1. Lig

Matchday 38 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 13:00

Bandirmaspor

PPG 1.94 · HOME

LAST 5

DDWDW

1 – 0

FULL TIME

Sivasspor

PPG 1.22 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLLWL

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.6%0-110.1%0-24.9%0-31.6%0-4+0.5%1 1-013.6%1-113.1%1-26.3%1-32.0%1-4+0.6%2 2-08.7%2-18.4%2-24.0%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-03.7%3-13.6%3-21.7%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-11.5%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.0% 62.5% 1.60 -32.8%

Draw 32.2% 27.4% 3.65 +17.5%

Away win 25.8% 20.0% 5.00 +29.0%

Over 2.5 39.0% 51.8% 1.93 -24.7%

Over 3.5 19.0% 29.9% 3.35 -36.4%

BTTS 46.7% 54.1% 1.85 -13.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 38 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 45%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -50.8%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 34%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob46.7%

H 42% / xG 1.3-1.0 / U2.5 39% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%

#2 0–0 10.6%

#3 1–0✓ 13.6%

#4 2–0 8.7%

#5 2–1 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bandirmaspor1.3

Sivasspor1.0

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 39.0% · O3.5 PROB 19.0%

Form & verdict PPG

BANDIRMASPOR · PPG 1.94

SIVASSPOR · PPG 1.22

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

Chance this pick lands

47%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.94) > Away AVERAGE (1.22)

Win probability 1X2

Bandirmaspor (H) 42.0%

ODDS 1.60 · IMPLIED 62.5% EV -32.8%

Draw 32.2%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV +17.5%

Sivasspor (A) 25.8%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV +29.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bandirmaspor face Sivasspor in Turkey - 1. Lig on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bandirmaspor a 42% chance, the draw 32% and Sivasspor 26%, so Bandirmaspor are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Bandirmaspor and 1.0 for Sivasspor (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bandirmaspor are averaging 1.94 points per game versus 1.22 for Sivasspor. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +29.0%. This match finished 1-0.

Bandirmaspor vs Sivasspor Prediction— Turkey - 1. Lig

Match Preview & Prediction

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