Keciorengucu vs Manisa BB Prediction— Turkey - 1. Lig

Turkey - 1. Lig Regular Season - 37 Aktepe Stadium· Ankara Sunday, April 26, 2026 13:00

Keciorengucu PPG 1.72

2-1 HIT MostLikelyScore

Manisa BB PPG 1.06

Away· +21.2% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Keciorengucu face Manisa BB in Turkey - 1. Lig on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Keciorengucu a 56% chance, the draw 23% and Manisa BB 20%, so Keciorengucu are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Keciorengucu and 1.0 for Manisa BB (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Keciorengucu are averaging 1.72 points per game versus 1.06 for Manisa BB. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +21.2%. This match finished 2-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 56.5%

Odds: 1.44 EV: -18.6%

Draw 23.3%

Odds: 4.20 EV: -2.1%

Away 20.2%

Odds: 6.00 EV: +21.2%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.5% Odds: 1.50 -9.3%

Over 3.5 47.3% Odds: 2.20 +4.1%

BTTS 58.5% Odds: 1.57 -8.2%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1 ✔

2nd 2-0 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 3-1 ✘

5th 3-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Keciorengucu

2.52

Manisa BB

1.03

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -9.3% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-9.3%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5/Under 52%

BTTS/No 48%

Score Hit 48%

ROI -82.8%

Bet Hit 17% (6 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.72) > Away AVERAGE (1.06)