Erzurum BB vs Bandirmaspor Prediction— Turkey - 1. Lig

Turkey - 1. Lig Regular Season - 37 Kazim Karabekir Stadyumu· Erzurum Sunday, April 26, 2026 13:00

Erzurum BB PPG 2.33

1-1 HIT CS3

Bandirmaspor PPG 1.17

Over2.5· +2.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Erzurum BB face Bandirmaspor in Turkey - 1. Lig on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Erzurum BB a 57% chance, the draw 28% and Bandirmaspor 16%, so Erzurum BB are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Erzurum BB and 0.6 for Bandirmaspor (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Erzurum BB are averaging 2.33 points per game versus 1.17 for Bandirmaspor. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +2.5%. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 56.6%

Odds: 1.77 EV: +0.2%

Draw 27.7%

Odds: 3.40 EV: -5.8%

Away 15.7%

Odds: 4.10 EV: -35.6%

Model lean: Home

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 50.0% Odds: 2.05 +2.5%

Over 3.5 23.5% Odds: 3.75 -11.9%

BTTS 49.5% Odds: 1.90 -5.9%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✔

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 3-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Erzurum BB

1.90

Bandirmaspor

0.57

Model SuggestionHome +0.2% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home. 
Raw EV leader: Over2.5(+2.5%)

League Track Record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5/Under 52%

BTTS/No 48%

Score Hit 48%

ROI -82.8%

Bet Hit 17% (6 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.33) vs P(Home)=56.6%