Pendikspor vs Boluspor Prediction— Turkey - 1. Lig

Turkey - 1. Lig Regular Season - 37 Pendik Stadyumu· Istanbul Sunday, April 26, 2026 13:00

Pendikspor PPG 1.83

2-0 HIT CS2

Boluspor PPG 0.94

Away· +19.9% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

80% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Pendikspor face Boluspor in Turkey - 1. Lig on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pendikspor a 51% chance, the draw 27% and Boluspor 22%, so Pendikspor are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Pendikspor and 0.9 for Boluspor (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pendikspor are averaging 1.83 points per game versus 0.94 for Boluspor. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +19.9%. This match finished 2-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 51.0%

Odds: 1.50 EV: -23.5%

Draw 27.2%

Odds: 4.00 EV: +8.8%

Away 21.8%

Odds: 5.50 EV: +19.9%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.0% Odds: 1.65 -2.6%

Over 3.5 36.1% Odds: 2.60 -6.1%

BTTS 57.8% Odds: 1.70 -1.7%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-0 ✔

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 3-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Pendikspor

2.11

Boluspor

0.93

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -2.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -2.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+19.9%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5/Under 52%

BTTS/No 48%

Score Hit 48%

ROI -82.8%

Bet Hit 17% (6 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

80%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.83) vs P(Home)=51.0%